Learning Prediction of Time Series - A Theoretical and Empirical Comparison of CBR with some other Approaches
نویسنده
چکیده
Case-based Reasoning (CBR) is a rather new research area in Artificial Intelligence. The concept of K-Nearest Neighbours (KNN) that can be considered as a subarea of CBR traced back, however, to early fifties and during the last years it is deeply investigated by the statistical community. In dealing with the task "learning prediction of time series", besides the KNN-approach, the Statistician have investigated other approaches. Recently, neural networks and symbolic machine learning approaches are applied to performing this task as well. Although learning prediction of time series is a very important task, there is no comprehensive study in the literature which compares the performance of CBR with the performance of the other alternative approaches. The aim of this paper is to contribute to this debate.
منابع مشابه
Time series forecasting of Bitcoin price based on ARIMA and machine learning approaches
Bitcoin as the current leader in cryptocurrencies is a new asset class receiving significant attention in the financial and investment community and presents an interesting time series prediction problem. In this paper, some forecasting models based on classical like ARIMA and machine learning approaches including Kriging, Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Bayesian method, Support Vector Machine...
متن کاملA Novel Fuzzy Based Method for Heart Rate Variability Prediction
Abstract In this paper, a novel technique based on fuzzy method is presented for chaotic nonlinear time series prediction. Fuzzy approach with the gradient learning algorithm and methods constitutes the main components of this method. This learning process in this method is similar to conventional gradient descent learning process, except that the input patterns and parameters are stored in mem...
متن کاملSome New Methods for Prediction of Time Series by Wavelets
Extended Abstract. Forecasting is one of the most important purposes of time series analysis. For many years, classical methods were used for this aim. But these methods do not give good performance results for real time series due to non-linearity and non-stationarity of these data sets. On one hand, most of real world time series data display a time-varying second order structure. On th...
متن کاملA comparison of parametric and non-parametric methods of standardized precipitation index (SPI) in drought monitoring (Case study: Gorganroud basin)
The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) is the most common index for drought monitoring. Although the calculation of this index is usually done by using the gamma distribution fitting of precipitation data, studies have shown that for accurate monitoring of drought, the optimal distribution of precipitation in each month should be determined. On the other hand, in non-stationary time series,...
متن کاملModel Based Method for Determining the Minimum Embedding Dimension from Solar Activity Chaotic Time Series
Predicting future behavior of chaotic time series system is a challenging area in the literature of nonlinear systems. The prediction's accuracy of chaotic time series is extremely dependent on the model and the learning algorithm. On the other hand the cyclic solar activity as one of the natural chaotic systems has significant effects on earth, climate, satellites and space missions. Several m...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 1993